Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.