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Scottish League Two | Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
KH

Stenhousemuir
1 - 4
Kelty Hearts

Brown (23')
Coll (30'), Lyon (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Agyeman (13', 71'), Cardle (33'), Barjonas (66')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Kelty Hearts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawKelty Hearts
18.33%21.28%60.4%
Both teams to score 54.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.31%42.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91%65.09%
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07%36.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28%73.72%
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.3%13.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.06%40.94%
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 18.33%
    Kelty Hearts 60.39%
    Draw 21.28%
StenhousemuirDrawKelty Hearts
1-0 @ 5.04%
2-1 @ 4.99%
2-0 @ 2.51%
3-1 @ 1.66%
3-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 18.33%
1-1 @ 10.02%
0-0 @ 5.06%
2-2 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.28%
0-1 @ 10.05%
0-2 @ 10%
1-2 @ 9.96%
0-3 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 6.6%
0-4 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 3.28%
2-4 @ 1.63%
0-5 @ 1.31%
1-5 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 60.39%

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