Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.29%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.