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Scottish League Two | Gameweek 1
Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stair Park
EC

Stranraer
1 - 4
Elgin

Devitt (77')
Millar (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dingwall (9', 81' pen.), Hester (47'), O'Keefe (65')
McDonald (84')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stranraer and Elgin City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.

Result
StranraerDrawElgin City
28.74%24.55%46.71%
Both teams to score 56.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.82%46.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53%68.47%
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35%29.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31%65.69%
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14%19.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.04%51.96%
Score Analysis
    Stranraer 28.74%
    Elgin City 46.71%
    Draw 24.55%
StranraerDrawElgin City
1-0 @ 7.16%
2-1 @ 7.03%
2-0 @ 4.35%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 28.74%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 9.52%
1-2 @ 9.35%
0-2 @ 7.69%
1-3 @ 5.04%
0-3 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 2.04%
0-4 @ 1.68%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 46.71%


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