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DU
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Tannadice Park
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Dundee Utd
1 - 0
Aberdeen

Harkes (80')
Freeman (4')
Butcher (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ojo (40'), Hedges (40')
Ojo (45')
The Scottish Premier League returns on Saturday following the international break and Dundee United will be hosting Aberdeen at Tannadice Park. Both teams were defeated in their most recent outing, therefore they shall each be attempting to get back to winning ways immediately.

Match preview

Dundee United were beginning to struggle before the international break, suffering a run of three games without a victory, which is something they will be keen to end now the SPL has returned. With the busy Winter period now here, the club will be keen to build some momentum to climb up the table, with the Terrors currently fourth-placed. They have the chance to potentially go level with Hearts, depending on other results, while they will also be wary of the fact Motherwell are just three points behind them. Despite goals from Ryan Edwards and Nicky Clark, the Jam Tarts dominated Dundee United in their previous match, with Tam Courts witnessing his team concede five times. The Terrors will also be aware of the fact the last time they played Aberdeen, they were defeated and failed to find the back of the net. That game was the season opener for both teams, with goals from Jonny Hayes and Christian Ramirez getting the Dons off to a perfect start to the campaign. However, since that point, Aberdeen have only been able to win three other matches, which has seen them drop to seventh in the table, with just five points between them and the relegation zone. Being dragged down to fight for their survival is something that Stephen Glass will be keen to avoid, but his team will need a stronger performance than their last outing to make that happen. The Dons were defeated 2-0 by Motherwell after Kevin van Veen was able to score a brace, even though they dominated with 70% of the possession. However, Aberdeen have been in stronger form as of late, winning two out of their previous four games and they shall be hoping to keep that going to kickstart the next round of fixtures.
Dundee United Scottish Premiership form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
Dundee United form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
Aberdeen Scottish Premiership form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
Aberdeen form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L

Team News

Dundee United do not have Liam Smith available because of his knee problem, while Marc McNulty was suffering from a hamstring injury before the international break. However, Courts has had positive news from the medical team when it comes to both Charlie Mulgrew and Dylan Levitt. Levitt has not featured for the Terrors since the end of October, while Mulgrew had to be brought off during their 5-2 defeat against Hearts before the international break, but they could be set to return on Saturday. Mikey Devlin had been training before the international fixtures and he could now be involved as he returns from his ankle ligament injury. Glass will also be hoping that Declan Gallagher and Calvin Ramsay can make their way back to the squad to place Scott Brown back in his natural position of midfield after covering in as a central defender. Dundee United possible starting lineup: Siegrist; McMann, Mulgrew, Edwards, Freeman; Levitt, Pawlett, Harkes, Fuchs, Niskanen; Clark Aberdeen possible starting lineup: Lewis; Bates, Gallagher, McCrorie; Brown, Ojo, Ferguson, Campbell, Hedges; Watkins, Ramirez

We said: Dundee United 1-1 Aberdeen

Both teams are hoping to get back to winning ways on Saturday but their desire to do so could see them cancel each other out and wind up drawing. They have each had mixed form as of late and will be wanting to kickstart this period with a win, but with little to separate them, sharing the spoils could be how this ends.
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee United in this match.

Result
Dundee UnitedDrawAberdeen
38.71%27.06%34.23%
Both teams to score 50.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.25%54.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.94%76.07%
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46%27.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95%63.05%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76%30.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59%66.41%
Score Analysis
    Dundee United 38.71%
    Aberdeen 34.23%
    Draw 27.06%
Dundee UnitedDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 38.71%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.33%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.96%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 34.23%

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