Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
