Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Dundee United win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
