Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
