Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.