Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
