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ML
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 1
Aug 1, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Fir Park
HL

Motherwell
2 - 3
Hibernian

van Veen (12'), Mugabi (29')
Carroll (22'), Slattery (31'), van Veen (55'), O'Donnell (69'), Kelly (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Magennis (17'), Doidge (56'), Boyle (70' pen.)
Hanlon (48'), Stevenson (59'), Porteous (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawHibernian
29.85%26.71%43.44%
Both teams to score 50.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45%54.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1%75.9%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84%33.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23%69.76%
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08%24.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45%59.54%
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 29.85%
    Hibernian 43.44%
    Draw 26.71%
MotherwellDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 7%
2-0 @ 5.03%
3-1 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.85%
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 29.85%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 11.48%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-2 @ 7.98%
1-3 @ 4.08%
0-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 43.44%

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