Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
