Motherwell
3 - 2
QotS

Watt (48'), Lamie (72'), Woolery (74')
Carroll (56')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Paton (40', 45+1')
Dunn (67')

Data Analysis

Graham Alexander reflects on "brilliant day" as Motherwell claim cup win

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Queen of the South
52.96%	23.29%	23.75%

Both teams to score 55.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.39%

44.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.03%

66.97%

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18%

16.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2%

46.81%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.28%

32.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.72%

69.28%

Score Analysis

Motherwell 52.96%

Queen of the South 23.75%

Draw 23.29%

Motherwell	Draw	Queen of the South
1-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 9.77% 2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 5.81% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.12% Total : 52.96%	1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 5.51% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.29%	0-1 @ 6.15% 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.46% Total : 23.75%