Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.