Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Celtic win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
