Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.