Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.37%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
