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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Sep 16, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
St Mirren Park
CL

St Mirren
1 - 2
Celtic

Erwin (3')
Fraser (34'), Erhahon (83'), Tait (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Duffy (21'), Forrest (36')
Brown (45')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 13.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.94%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawCeltic
13.6%21.12%65.27%
Both teams to score 44.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39%50.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48%72.53%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.08%47.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.83%83.17%
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25%14.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.01%42.99%
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 13.6%
    Celtic 65.27%
    Draw 21.13%
St MirrenDrawCeltic
1-0 @ 5.2%
2-1 @ 3.66%
2-0 @ 1.91%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 13.6%
1-1 @ 9.95%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.13%
0-1 @ 13.53%
0-2 @ 12.94%
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-3 @ 8.26%
1-3 @ 6.08%
0-4 @ 3.95%
1-4 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-5 @ 1.51%
1-5 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 65.27%


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