Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.
