SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 35.44%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.13%) and 2-1 (6.53%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (13.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Albacete in this match.
| Result | ||
| Albacete | Draw | Real Oviedo |
35.44% ( -0.32) | 31.97% ( 0.08) | 32.59% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 37.2% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.2% ( -0.2) | 70.8% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.26% ( -0.13) | 87.74% ( 0.12) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.04% ( -0.33) | 37.96% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.27% ( -0.33) | 74.73% ( 0.32) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.96% ( 0.06) | 40.03% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.31% ( 0.05) | 76.68% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albacete | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 1-0 @ 14.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 35.44% | 0-0 @ 15.19% ( 0.11) 1-1 @ 13.47% 2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 31.96% | 0-1 @ 13.91% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.4% Total : 32.58% |
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