SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Eibar | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Albacete | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Villarreal II | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | UD Ibiza | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Ponferradina | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Tenerife | 5 | -3 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Albacete | Draw | Ponferradina |
50.85% ( 0.9) | 26.34% ( 0.03) | 22.81% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 45.74% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.44% ( -0.87) | 57.56% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.66% ( -0.7) | 78.34% ( 0.7) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 0.03) | 22.74% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.58% ( 0.04) | 56.42% ( -0.04) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.2% ( -1.39) | 40.8% ( 1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.62% ( -1.27) | 77.38% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albacete | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.35)2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 50.85% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.25% Total : 22.81% |
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