Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Albacete had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.4%) and 1-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Albacete win was 1-0 (13.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.