Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 2-1 (7.47%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almeria in this match.