Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.