Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.