SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 39.76% | 29.54% | 30.69% |
| Both teams to score 42.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.86% | 64.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.71% | 83.28% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% | 31.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.08% | 67.92% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.33% | 37.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.55% | 74.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% 2-0 @ 7.91% 2-1 @ 7.73% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.95% Total : 39.75% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 11.87% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.53% | 0-1 @ 11.59% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.71% Total : 30.69% |
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