Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 44.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.