Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
