SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.56%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Eldense |
63.97% ( 0.24) | 22.4% ( -0.07) | 13.63% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 40.99% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.68% ( -0.04) | 55.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% ( -0.04) | 76.53% ( 0.03) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% ( 0.06) | 16.77% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.28% ( 0.12) | 46.72% ( -0.12) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.26% ( -0.29) | 50.74% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.83% ( -0.2) | 85.16% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Eldense |
| 1-0 @ 15.19% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 13.56% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 63.96% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 13.63% |
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