Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Elche had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.