Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
