Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Las Palmas in this match.