SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 0-1 (11.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Amorebieta |
| 37.74% | 29.48% | 32.77% |
| Both teams to score 43.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.41% | 63.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.11% | 82.89% |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% | 32.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.99% | 69.01% |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% | 35.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.4% | 72.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Amorebieta |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.74% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.47% | 0-1 @ 11.94% 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.02% Total : 32.77% |
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