Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for FC Andorra had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest FC Andorra win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
Result | ||
Mirandes | Draw | FC Andorra |
42.02% ( 0.3) | 26.87% ( -0.11) | 31.11% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 50.27% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.29% ( 0.35) | 54.7% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.97% ( 0.29) | 76.02% ( -0.3) |
Mirandes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.28% ( 0.32) | 25.71% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.36% ( 0.43) | 60.64% ( -0.43) |
FC Andorra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% ( 0.04) | 32.32% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% ( 0.05) | 68.83% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Mirandes | Draw | FC Andorra |
1-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.11% |
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