Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
0.39) 
-0.46) 
