Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Numancia had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Numancia win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.