SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Racing de Santander |
42.75% ( 0.23) | 28.22% ( -0.02) | 29.03% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 45.48% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.65% ( 0.01) | 60.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.5% ( 0) | 80.5% ( -0) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( 0.13) | 27.95% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.41% ( 0.16) | 63.58% ( -0.17) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.12% ( -0.16) | 36.88% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.33% ( -0.16) | 73.67% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 42.75% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 29.03% |
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