Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing de Santander in this match.
Result | ||
Racing de Santander | Draw | Mirandes |
50.31% ( -0.44) | 26.1% ( 0.08) | 23.59% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 47.2% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.93% ( 0.02) | 56.07% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.85% ( 0.01) | 77.15% ( -0.01) |
Racing de Santander Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.65% ( -0.19) | 22.35% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.16% ( -0.28) | 55.84% ( 0.28) |
Mirandes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.79% ( 0.35) | 39.21% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.08% ( 0.33) | 75.92% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Racing de Santander | Draw | Mirandes |
1-0 @ 13.13% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.31% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.45% Total : 23.59% |
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