Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 45.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 27.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.