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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2021 at 5pm UK
Jose Zorrilla
AM

Real Valladolid
1 - 2
Atletico

Plano (18')
Maranhao (55'), El Yamiq (70'), Michel (74'), Fede (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Correa (57'), Suarez (67')
Felix (78'), Felipe (83'), Lodi (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAtletico Madrid
20.34%23.98%55.68%
Both teams to score 49.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.72%51.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.89%73.11%
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.27%39.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6%76.4%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72%18.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66%49.34%
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 20.34%
    Atletico Madrid 55.67%
    Draw 23.98%
Real ValladolidDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.7%
2-1 @ 5.26%
2-0 @ 3.09%
3-1 @ 1.62%
3-2 @ 1.38%
3-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 20.34%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 12.34%
0-2 @ 10.48%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-3 @ 5.94%
1-3 @ 5.48%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-4 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 2.33%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 55.67%

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