Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Atletico Madrid
20.34%	23.98%	55.68%

Both teams to score 49.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.72%

51.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.89%

73.11%

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.27%

39.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.6%

76.4%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72%

18.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.66%

49.34%

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 20.34%

Atletico Madrid 55.67%

Draw 23.98%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.7% 2-1 @ 5.26% 2-0 @ 3.09% 3-1 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.34% Total : 20.34%	1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 12.34% 0-2 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-3 @ 5.94% 1-3 @ 5.48% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-4 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 2.33% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.28% Total : 55.67%