Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Espanyol in this match.