Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.