SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (12.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tenerife | Draw | Cadiz |
37.14% ( 2.56) | 29.9% ( 0.64) | 32.96% ( -3.2) |
| Both teams to score 42.27% ( -1.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.12% ( -2.17) | 64.88% ( 2.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.2% ( -1.55) | 83.8% ( 1.55) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( 0.55) | 33.54% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.81% ( 0.59) | 70.18% ( -0.59) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.61% ( -3.36) | 36.39% ( 3.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.83% ( -3.55) | 73.17% ( 3.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tenerife | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 13.33% ( 1.22) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.76)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.14% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.94)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.88% | 0-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.62)0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.67)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.45)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.45)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.22)Other @ 1.92% Total : 32.96% |
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