SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.12%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Cartagena |
56.69% ( -0.44) | 27.25% ( 0.29) | 16.06% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 34.71% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.16% ( -0.59) | 66.84% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.84% ( -0.41) | 85.15% ( 0.41) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% ( -0.46) | 24.22% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.44% ( -0.66) | 58.56% ( 0.66) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.8% ( -0.15) | 54.2% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.6% ( -0.09) | 87.39% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 18.61% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 13.19% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 2% Total : 56.68% | 0-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.29) 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 16.06% |
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