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Serie B | Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2021 at 6pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
4 - 1
Pordenone

Ndoj (9', 39'), Cistana (15'), Labojko (88')
Jagiello (45+2'), Bisoli (46'), Karacic (71')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Musiolik (20')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Pordenone Calcio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Pordenone Calcio win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
BresciaDrawPordenone Calcio
40.1%27.75%32.15%
Both teams to score 48.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.27%57.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.53%78.48%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84%28.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.15%63.86%
Pordenone Calcio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84%33.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24%69.76%
Score Analysis
    Brescia 40.1%
    Pordenone Calcio 32.15%
    Draw 27.74%
BresciaDrawPordenone Calcio
1-0 @ 11.83%
2-1 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 40.1%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 5.69%
1-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.15%

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