Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virtus Entella win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Virtus Entella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
