Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Chievo Verona win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Spezia Calcio had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Chievo Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Spezia Calcio win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.