Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
