Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Reggina win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
