Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.