Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.