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Serie B | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
2 - 0
Reggiana

Valoti (38'), D'Alessandro (80')
Floccari (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lunetta (44'), Martinelli (49'), Kargbo (82')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Reggiana.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 24.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.

Result
SPALDrawReggiana
51.48%24.45%24.07%
Both teams to score 52.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74%49.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68%71.31%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87%19.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.24%50.76%
Reggiana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01%34.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.26%71.73%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 51.47%
    Reggiana 24.07%
    Draw 24.45%
SPALDrawReggiana
1-0 @ 11.06%
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 9.16%
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-0 @ 5.05%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 51.47%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.69%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.03%
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.07%

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